PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
EMCSQtheta-thunbergccllar
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (142–147, n=289)47% (395–446, n=841)
Consensus PnL—$64K$11K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #533Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #1000
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)58% (7 of 12 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Culture −23 pts, n=11—
Settled positions, side won—51% of 597 at avg 47¢, ROI +5%98% of 400 at avg 56¢, ROI +39%
Entries under 30¢—42% (won 10% of 253)6% (won 87% of 23)
Entries 30–50¢—10% (won 37% of 60)28% (won 97% of 112)
Entries 50–70¢—12% (won 74% of 72)44% (won 99% of 177)
Entries 70¢ and up—36% (won 95% of 212)22% (won 100% of 88)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.