PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
EMCSQ0x08A30A0A0fb71ebDdc8907145791030782B88666-17822041002950x50f7Bonereaper
Record (consensus markets)35% (27–51, n=78)65% (45–24, n=69)85% (52325–9456, n=61781)88% (51983–7229, n=59212)
Consensus PnL$538-$172K$562K$17.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #533was PM monthly #57PM monthly #312PM monthly #258
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position33% (1 of 3 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +7 pts n=40567, ROI +2%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=127, ROI +37%
  • Crypto +31 pts n=52469, ROI +22%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—87% of 52 at avg 71¢, ROI +20%92% of 40567 at avg 84¢, ROI +2%99% of 52599 at avg 67¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢—0%11% (won 23% of 4399)4% (won 91% of 2329)
Entries 30–50¢—4% (won 100% of 2)3% (won 100% of 1101)15% (won 96% of 8078)
Entries 50–70¢—46% (won 75% of 24)7% (won 100% of 2713)33% (won 99% of 17113)
Entries 70¢ and up—50% (won 96% of 26)80% (won 100% of 32354)48% (won 100% of 25079)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.