PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Devilswithjoystick0xbe044D601FBe89c9E87eACFa57d813A31F783C60-17679970979410x3d5a9e66f15e6719927972135501c61efc53a0be
Record (consensus markets)no settled market89% (48–6, n=54)92% (298–25, n=323)
Consensus PnL—-$54K$4.8K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #991Hand-pickedPM monthly #491
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position93% (13 of 14 open)45% (5 of 11 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tech +9 pts n=10, ROI +8%
Weakest topic—Geopolitics −1 pts, n=96—
Settled positions, side won—84% of 190 at avg 84¢, ROI −2%92% of 79 at avg 53¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 8% of 12)8% (won 67% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢—3% (won 40% of 5)16% (won 92% of 13)
Entries 50–70¢—9% (won 56% of 18)73% (won 95% of 58)
Entries 70¢ and up—82% (won 95% of 155)3% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.