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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BlackPeopleDontRecycleTheReturnOfDarthMaulDaWinci
Record (consensus markets)no settled market66% (284–146, n=430)67% (14–7, n=21)
Consensus PnL—$1.8M$33K
Tracked asPM monthly #750PM monthly #77PM monthly #507
Sides with the consensus83% (5 of 6 open)79% (48 of 61 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Crypto −4 pts, n=84—
Settled positions, side won—62% of 416 at avg 61¢, ROI +9%100% of 14 at avg 60¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 9% of 119)7% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—11% (won 49% of 47)21% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢—10% (won 83% of 41)36% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up—50% (won 90% of 209)36% (won 100% of 5)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBlackPeopleDontRecycleTheReturnOfDarthMaulDaWinci
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $454No $4.9K—