PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BlackPeopleDontRecycle0xbe044D601FBe89c9E87eACFa57d813A31F783C60-1767997097941olegio
Record (consensus markets)no settled market89% (48–6, n=54)49% (348–364, n=712)
Consensus PnL—-$54K$15K
Tracked asPM monthly #750Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #886
Sides with the consensus83% (5 of 6 open)100% (14 of 14 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tech +9 pts n=10, ROI +8%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=46, ROI +29%
  • Esports +10 pts n=171, ROI +9%
  • NHL +7 pts n=47, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—Geopolitics −1 pts, n=96NBA −3 pts, n=127
Settled positions, side won—84% of 190 at avg 84¢, ROI −2%49% of 691 at avg 43¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 8% of 12)19% (won 22% of 129)
Entries 30–50¢—3% (won 40% of 5)50% (won 44% of 345)
Entries 50–70¢—9% (won 56% of 18)25% (won 69% of 176)
Entries 70¢ and up—82% (won 95% of 155)6% (won 88% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBlackPeopleDontRecycle0xbe044D601FBe89c9E87eACFa57d813A31F783C60-1767997097941olegio
Trump out as President before 2027?
same side · consensus No
No $32KNo $23K—