← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BikesAreTheBikes | Hauchn | juice-fruit | RememberAmalek | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | no settled market | 100% (1–0, n=1) | 70% (143–62, n=205) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $114K | $152K | $495K |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #144 | PM monthly #18 | PM monthly #149 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (56 of 103 open) | 47% (7 of 15 open) | no open consensus position | 55% (85 of 155 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | not computed yet | not computed yet | not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | — | — | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | — | — | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | — | — | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | — | — | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | — | — | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BikesAreTheBikes | Hauchn | juice-fruit | RememberAmalek |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $385 | — | — | No $105K |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $667 | — | — | No $15K |
| Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $264 | — | — | No $3.0K |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2 | — | — | No $1.3K |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $473 | — | — | Yes $5.0K |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $55 | — | — | Yes $4.8K |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1 | — | — | Yes $602 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $151 | — | — | Yes $120 |