PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Bear9011hymolustd00xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592
Record (consensus markets)no settled market96% (23–1, n=24)95% (10382–509, n=10891)92% (704–64, n=768)
Consensus PnL—$120K$34K$14.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #366was PM monthly #944was PM monthly #985was PM monthly #999
Sides with the consensus33% (1 of 3 open)100% (5 of 5 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +45 pts n=5979, ROI +46%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—96% of 24 at avg 91¢, ROI +9%99% of 5979 at avg 53¢, ROI +46%99% of 731 at avg 59¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢—4% (won 0% of 1)1% (won 45% of 65)2% (won 100% of 14)
Entries 30–50¢—0%15% (won 98% of 885)15% (won 97% of 113)
Entries 50–70¢—0%78% (won 100% of 4649)65% (won 99% of 477)
Entries 70¢ and up—96% (won 100% of 23)6% (won 96% of 380)17% (won 100% of 127)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.