PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AnonymousPersonMelayuberlinskiesdiceking
Record (consensus markets)no settled market95% (42–2, n=44)58% (4742–3407, n=8149)59% (228–160, n=388)
Consensus PnL—-$12K$46K$68K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #256was PM monthly #977PM monthly #299was PM monthly #957
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position71% (5 of 7 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—50% of 4 at avg 74¢, ROI −78%98% of 1841 at avg 62¢, ROI +43%62% of 360 at avg 51¢, ROI +9%
Entries under 30¢—0%6% (won 91% of 115)1% (won 0% of 4)
Entries 30–50¢—25% (won 100% of 1)21% (won 97% of 389)25% (won 54% of 89)
Entries 50–70¢—0%35% (won 99% of 643)74% (won 66% of 266)
Entries 70¢ and up—75% (won 33% of 3)38% (won 100% of 694)0% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.