PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AnonymousPerson0xb46ac9ec39dbb68d76ab82aa16ddae7c400717fcsfkjbsr457Gggggrr88
Record (consensus markets)no settled market50% (1–1, n=2)66% (4366–2258, n=6624)89% (101–12, n=113)
Consensus PnL—$149$54K$163K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #256was PM monthly #1000was PM monthly #964was PM monthly #654
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • Crypto +28 pts n=3176, ROI +25%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—50% of 2 at avg 50¢, ROI +2%80% of 3176 at avg 52¢, ROI +25%100% of 103 at avg 57¢, ROI +43%
Entries under 30¢—50% (won 0% of 1)0% (won 40% of 5)1% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—0%47% (won 76% of 1508)26% (won 100% of 27)
Entries 50–70¢—0%51% (won 83% of 1608)63% (won 100% of 65)
Entries 70¢ and up—50% (won 100% of 1)2% (won 95% of 55)10% (won 100% of 10)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.