PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
All-Priority-ChinpvmaiRRRRRRRRLjesterthegoose
Record (consensus markets)no settled market78% (21–6, n=27)50% (2–2, n=4)80% (284–70, n=354)
Consensus PnL—$13K$161K$207K
Tracked asPM monthly #561PM monthly #380was PM monthly #324was PM monthly #562 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———Elections −5 pts, n=12
Settled positions, side won——100% of 2 at avg 48¢, ROI +52%80% of 579 at avg 79¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢——0%14% (won 8% of 83)
Entries 30–50¢——100% (won 100% of 2)5% (won 39% of 28)
Entries 50–70¢——0%5% (won 65% of 31)
Entries 70¢ and up——0%75% (won 97% of 437)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.