PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Abkhauaetiger1050x9e8eddeb4a1261ba9c7530a0386202cb6c12d006beheo123
Record (consensus markets)no settled market67% (96–48, n=144)63% (39–23, n=62)65% (28–15, n=43)
Consensus PnL—$39K-$1.0K$40K
Tracked asPM monthly #19was PM monthly #985was PM monthly #997was PM monthly #982
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position33% (1 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Tennis −2 pts, n=77—
Settled positions, side won100% of 2 at avg 52¢, ROI +52%100% of 95 at avg 61¢, ROI +34%96% of 77 at avg 98¢, ROI 0%86% of 28 at avg 56¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢0%1% (won 100% of 1)1% (won 0% of 1)18% (won 40% of 5)
Entries 30–50¢50% (won 100% of 1)24% (won 100% of 23)0%14% (won 100% of 4)
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 100% of 1)51% (won 100% of 48)0%36% (won 100% of 10)
Entries 70¢ and up0%24% (won 100% of 23)99% (won 97% of 76)32% (won 89% of 9)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.