PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AbkhauaeClicker1maxiplayerLuckyWin
Record (consensus markets)no settled market48% (10–11, n=21)80% (615–154, n=769)88% (693–98, n=791)
Consensus PnL—$133K$74K$29K
Tracked asPM monthly #19was PM monthly #930PM monthly #623was PM monthly #579
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (3 of 3 open)no open consensus position80% (4 of 5 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———NBA −7 pts, n=48
Settled positions, side won100% of 2 at avg 52¢, ROI +52%91% of 11 at avg 71¢, ROI +21%80% of 668 at avg 76¢, ROI +4%88% of 738 at avg 88¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢0%9% (won 0% of 1)11% (won 21% of 76)7% (won 8% of 48)
Entries 30–50¢50% (won 100% of 1)18% (won 100% of 2)9% (won 53% of 58)4% (won 44% of 32)
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 100% of 1)9% (won 100% of 1)9% (won 65% of 57)7% (won 56% of 48)
Entries 70¢ and up0%64% (won 100% of 7)71% (won 95% of 477)83% (won 99% of 610)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.