PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ABC12345654321t89e4ygf6MEPP0xd9670ea74384c1e1b9dc1e4267ffadaf4cdd140
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (108–128, n=236)65% (345–184, n=529)88% (35–5, n=40)
Consensus PnL—$15K$557K$1.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #497was PM monthly #987was PM monthly #959 + pinnedwas PM monthly #77
Sides with the consensus36% (12 of 33 open)0% (0 of 1 open)79% (65 of 82 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——Entertainment −18 pts, n=11—
Settled positions, side won—91% of 121 at avg 54¢, ROI +38%66% of 767 at avg 62¢, ROI +4%100% of 32 at avg 55¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 71% of 7)20% (won 14% of 151)0%
Entries 30–50¢—31% (won 92% of 38)11% (won 34% of 82)47% (won 100% of 15)
Entries 50–70¢—46% (won 89% of 56)19% (won 66% of 144)31% (won 100% of 10)
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 100% of 20)51% (won 93% of 390)22% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketABC12345654321t89e4ygf6MEPP0xd9670ea74384c1e1b9dc1e4267ffadaf4cdd140
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $99—Yes $7.0K—