PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ABC12345654321e333eMEPPPitter
Record (consensus markets)no settled market80% (8–2, n=10)65% (345–184, n=529)49% (225–232, n=457)
Consensus PnL—$6.3K$557K$49K
Tracked asPM monthly #497was PM monthly #636was PM monthly #959 + pinnedHand-picked
Sides with the consensus36% (12 of 33 open)no open consensus position79% (65 of 82 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——Entertainment −18 pts, n=11Politics −5 pts, n=52
Settled positions, side won—70% of 10 at avg 58¢, ROI +17%66% of 767 at avg 62¢, ROI +4%36% of 1019 at avg 34¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢—0%20% (won 14% of 151)53% (won 6% of 545)
Entries 30–50¢—30% (won 67% of 3)11% (won 34% of 82)13% (won 50% of 136)
Entries 50–70¢—50% (won 60% of 5)19% (won 66% of 144)17% (won 65% of 175)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 2)51% (won 93% of 390)16% (won 92% of 163)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketABC12345654321e333eMEPPPitter
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $99—Yes $7.0K—
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
same side · consensus No
——No $4.8KNo $97