PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
88888x88888forrestgumper0xe617861a96631d7cefdb1ad43e95c33b5946f251
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (413–493, n=906)89% (382–46, n=428)
Consensus PnL—$62K-$38K
Tracked asPM monthly #166PM monthly #500was PM monthly #993
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)20% (1 of 5 open)83% (5 of 6 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tech +4 pts n=33, ROI +10%
Weakest topic——Weather −3 pts, n=104
Settled positions, side won—63% of 627 at avg 48¢, ROI +7%91% of 737 at avg 92¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢—30% (won 23% of 185)1% (won 50% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢—19% (won 54% of 119)1% (won 25% of 4)
Entries 50–70¢—25% (won 83% of 157)3% (won 64% of 25)
Entries 70¢ and up—26% (won 95% of 166)95% (won 93% of 700)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.