PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xe1666d904d93B2172d2ee0B01a78affAfE058F14-1768421530120DonaldinhoTrumpitotomatosauce3
Record (consensus markets)no settled market66% (322–163, n=485)67% (6–3, n=9)
Consensus PnL—-$290K-$2.9K
Tracked asPM monthly #788PM monthly #598 + pinnedwas PM monthly #879
Sides with the consensus20% (1 of 5 open)63% (5 of 8 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Elections ±0 pts, n=183—
Settled positions, side won—76% of 595 at avg 73¢, ROI 0%100% of 4 at avg 43¢, ROI +17%
Entries under 30¢—14% (won 6% of 83)50% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢—8% (won 35% of 48)25% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢—12% (won 65% of 74)0%
Entries 70¢ and up—66% (won 97% of 390)25% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xe1666d904d93B2172d2ee0B01a78affAfE058F14-1768421530120DonaldinhoTrumpitotomatosauce3
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.5KNo $110K—
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
same side · consensus No
Yes $310Yes $1.9K—