PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xc47C9C4C0fa94798E28ACaA752d337880F93fa04-17457957571740xuxuuxuuuuuninformedflowwMEPP
Record (consensus markets)no settled market84% (109–21, n=130)66% (16430–8405, n=24835)65% (345–184, n=529)
Consensus PnL—$1.7K$31K$557K
Tracked asPM monthly #984was PM monthly #902PM monthly #432was PM monthly #959 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position50% (2 of 4 open)79% (65 of 82 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———Entertainment −18 pts, n=11
Settled positions, side won100% of 2 at avg 52¢, ROI +53%73% of 49 at avg 54¢, ROI +13%66% of 5040 at avg 62¢, ROI +11%66% of 767 at avg 62¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢0%31% (won 40% of 15)16% (won 12% of 794)20% (won 14% of 151)
Entries 30–50¢50% (won 100% of 1)6% (won 67% of 3)16% (won 35% of 788)11% (won 34% of 82)
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 100% of 1)31% (won 87% of 15)17% (won 66% of 870)19% (won 66% of 144)
Entries 70¢ and up0%33% (won 94% of 16)51% (won 92% of 2588)51% (won 93% of 390)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.