PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293SchruteBucksChampions26Tyatsmr
Record (consensus markets)no settled market62% (1170–717, n=1887)64% (381–212, n=593)62% (186–112, n=298)
Consensus PnL—$56K$19K$19K
Tracked asPM monthly #749PM monthly #557was PM monthly #597PM monthly #986
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position75% (3 of 4 open)40% (2 of 5 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • Mentions +39 pts n=17, ROI +63%
  • NFL +20 pts n=104, ROI +17%
  • Tech +30 pts n=19, ROI +40%
Weakest topic——Soccer −1 pts, n=372Elections −3 pts, n=42
Settled positions, side won—99% of 712 at avg 72¢, ROI +8%62% of 378 at avg 63¢, ROI +3%67% of 247 at avg 51¢, ROI +13%
Entries under 30¢—4% (won 96% of 25)4% (won 35% of 17)30% (won 19% of 74)
Entries 30–50¢—12% (won 96% of 84)9% (won 34% of 35)17% (won 59% of 41)
Entries 50–70¢—24% (won 99% of 172)52% (won 59% of 196)17% (won 93% of 42)
Entries 70¢ and up—61% (won 100% of 431)34% (won 78% of 130)36% (won 98% of 90)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.