PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293SchruteBucksTrippleEX0x071641292ee6fac7bc752e05a1a536f7654c522b
Record (consensus markets)no settled market62% (1170–717, n=1887)60% (301–199, n=500)49% (49–50, n=99)
Consensus PnL—$56K-$213K-$1.9K
Tracked asPM monthly #749PM monthly #557was PM monthly #883was PM monthly #958
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position75% (3 of 4 open)0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Esports −4 pts, n=421Tennis −4 pts, n=64
Settled positions, side won—99% of 712 at avg 72¢, ROI +8%62% of 486 at avg 64¢, ROI −3%92% of 65 at avg 95¢, ROI −5%
Entries under 30¢—4% (won 96% of 25)3% (won 23% of 13)5% (won 67% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢—12% (won 96% of 84)14% (won 36% of 67)0%
Entries 50–70¢—24% (won 99% of 172)49% (won 56% of 237)0%
Entries 70¢ and up—61% (won 100% of 431)35% (won 83% of 169)95% (won 94% of 62)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.