PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293Champions26five5120NiceDuckBro
Record (consensus markets)no settled market64% (381–212, n=593)70% (376–160, n=536)65% (161–87, n=248)
Consensus PnL—$19K-$261K-$13K
Tracked asPM monthly #749was PM monthly #597was PM monthly #1000Hand-picked
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position40% (2 of 5 open)no open consensus position62% (8 of 13 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=372—Mentions −7 pts, n=19
Settled positions, side won—62% of 378 at avg 63¢, ROI +3%94% of 387 at avg 76¢, ROI +18%65% of 326 at avg 65¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢—4% (won 35% of 17)1% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 2% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢—9% (won 34% of 35)2% (won 43% of 7)14% (won 33% of 45)
Entries 50–70¢—52% (won 59% of 196)26% (won 92% of 99)21% (won 69% of 67)
Entries 70¢ and up—34% (won 78% of 130)72% (won 97% of 279)52% (won 88% of 171)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.