PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293goldmyname0x86b5036c103366e770e14bf63771f22d2aeb16c4NiceDuckBro
Record (consensus markets)no settled market60% (94–63, n=157)60% (3–2, n=5)65% (161–87, n=248)
Consensus PnL—-$5.0K$472-$13K
Tracked asPM monthly #749was PM monthly #960was PM monthly #959Hand-picked
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position83% (5 of 6 open)no open consensus position62% (8 of 13 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +3 pts n=29, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +5 pts n=30, ROI +7%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=73—Mentions −7 pts, n=19
Settled positions, side won—64% of 157 at avg 68¢, ROI 0%0% of 3 at avg 2¢, ROI +79%65% of 326 at avg 65¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢—3% (won 20% of 5)100% (won 0% of 3)13% (won 2% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢—45% (won 33% of 70)0%14% (won 33% of 45)
Entries 50–70¢—8% (won 67% of 12)0%21% (won 69% of 67)
Entries 70¢ and up—45% (won 99% of 70)0%52% (won 88% of 171)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.