PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market59% (52–36, n=88)63% (285–168, n=453)49% (49–50, n=99)
Consensus PnL—$278K$329K-$1.9K
Tracked asPM monthly #749was PM monthly #614was PM monthly #688was PM monthly #958
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +15 pts n=76, ROI −5%
  • Esports +16 pts n=142, ROI +25%
  • Tennis +12 pts n=68, ROI +33%
  • NHL +8 pts n=31, ROI +16%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——NFL −6 pts, n=19Tennis −4 pts, n=64
Settled positions, side won—84% of 82 at avg 71¢, ROI +6%68% of 437 at avg 60¢, ROI +17%92% of 65 at avg 95¢, ROI −5%
Entries under 30¢—12% (won 0% of 10)13% (won 25% of 55)5% (won 67% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢—6% (won 80% of 5)22% (won 55% of 95)0%
Entries 50–70¢—18% (won 87% of 15)29% (won 69% of 127)0%
Entries 70¢ and up—63% (won 100% of 52)37% (won 89% of 160)95% (won 94% of 62)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.