PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293Rayayadarkumbreon88ATAKAJr.
Record (consensus markets)no settled market61% (1111–720, n=1831)66% (1624–844, n=2468)72% (28–11, n=39)
Consensus PnL—-$48K-$6.7K$85K
Tracked asPM monthly #749PM monthly #772was PM monthly #833was PM monthly #544
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position60% (3 of 5 open)67% (8 of 12 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • MLB +43 pts n=44, ROI +45%
  • NFL +36 pts n=79, ROI +28%
  • Tennis +33 pts n=199, ROI +31%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Esports −1 pts, n=1735——
Settled positions, side won—61% of 1740 at avg 62¢, ROI −1%100% of 1444 at avg 69¢, ROI +32%75% of 36 at avg 73¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢—3% (won 12% of 58)1% (won 100% of 16)3% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—13% (won 37% of 231)9% (won 100% of 133)6% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢—53% (won 61% of 927)38% (won 100% of 552)33% (won 83% of 12)
Entries 70¢ and up—30% (won 76% of 524)51% (won 100% of 743)58% (won 81% of 21)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.