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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| segment3 | yohan75 | MEPP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (5–2, n=7) | 64% (279–154, n=433) | 65% (345–184, n=529) |
| Consensus PnL | $11K | $72K | $557K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #832 | was PM monthly #968 | was PM monthly #959 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (18 of 24 open) | no open consensus position | 79% (65 of 82 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Entertainment −18 pts, n=11 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 3 at avg 85¢, ROI +22% | 81% of 357 at avg 56¢, ROI +24% | 66% of 767 at avg 62¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 15% (won 31% of 54) | 20% (won 14% of 151) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 15% (won 72% of 53) | 11% (won 34% of 82) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 42% (won 91% of 151) | 19% (won 66% of 144) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 100% (won 100% of 3) | 28% (won 97% of 99) | 51% (won 93% of 390) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | segment3 | yohan75 | MEPP |
|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $210 | — | No $19K |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? opposite sides · consensus No | No $12K | — | Yes $1.3K |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.8K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? same side · consensus No | Yes $540 | — | Yes $1.8K |