PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1b296Ecf556EF9a93887C82836343f58C1Ff1227-1721909506760bamesjondPitter0xd9670ea74384c1e1b9dc1e4267ffadaf4cdd140
Record (consensus markets)no settled market88% (130–18, n=148)49% (225–232, n=457)88% (35–5, n=40)
Consensus PnL—-$572K$49K$1.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #841Hand-pickedHand-pickedwas PM monthly #77
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (4 of 4 open)100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——Politics −5 pts, n=52—
Settled positions, side won—95% of 1059 at avg 92¢, ROI +2%36% of 1019 at avg 34¢, ROI +1%100% of 32 at avg 55¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 12% of 52)53% (won 6% of 545)0%
Entries 30–50¢—1% (won 63% of 8)13% (won 50% of 136)47% (won 100% of 15)
Entries 50–70¢—3% (won 77% of 30)17% (won 65% of 175)31% (won 100% of 10)
Entries 70¢ and up—92% (won 100% of 969)16% (won 92% of 163)22% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.