PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x17bec72f65b07cacd12000a0ba0ba162b6b7c52bBromley86DaWinci
Record (consensus markets)no settled market93% (553–40, n=593)67% (14–7, n=21)
Consensus PnL—$27K$33K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #994Hand-pickedPM monthly #506
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (11 of 11 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Entertainment −3 pts, n=12—
Settled positions, side won—94% of 686 at avg 92¢, ROI +2%100% of 14 at avg 60¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢—2% (won 24% of 17)7% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—2% (won 53% of 15)21% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢—2% (won 54% of 13)36% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up—93% (won 98% of 641)36% (won 100% of 5)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.