Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
	0x127e88ca7f26b32be5ff2b005c5478cbd3833dd8	Debosnys	0xE5F0AE9cc9aeF77ae3c2A64c9E69caa3F335dc1d-1773531520731	0x6982049c65e98606f65A0CE71fDb9b61296dA165-1777135114945
Record (consensus markets)	no settled market	91% (1259–124, n=1383)	49% (619–632, n=1251)	95% (597–29, n=626)
Consensus PnL	—	$79K	$840K	$1.0M
Tracked as	PM monthly #915	Hand-picked	was PM monthly #746	was PM monthly #957
Sides with the consensus	no open consensus position	80% (37 of 46 open)	75% (6 of 8 open)	no open consensus position
Strongest topics	not computed yet	Other Sports +2 pts n=29, ROI +1%	Soccer +19 pts n=816, ROI +17% NHL +10 pts n=232, ROI +6% Geopolitics +4 pts n=32, ROI +2%	Tennis +28 pts n=649, ROI +36% Soccer +19 pts n=75, ROI +23% Other Sports +16 pts n=67, ROI +21%
Weakest topic	—	Weather −6 pts, n=50	Mentions −15 pts, n=44	—
Settled positions, side won	—	91% of 1876 at avg 92¢, ROI +1%	57% of 1153 at avg 42¢, ROI +13%	98% of 846 at avg 72¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢	—	5% (won 9% of 92)	21% (won 37% of 241)	2% (won 85% of 20)
Entries 30–50¢	—	2% (won 31% of 32)	44% (won 56% of 513)	10% (won 97% of 88)
Entries 50–70¢	—	3% (won 57% of 51)	33% (won 70% of 384)	22% (won 97% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up	—	91% (won 98% of 1701)	1% (won 93% of 15)	65% (won 99% of 551)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market	0x127e88ca7f26b32be5ff2b005c5478cbd3833dd8	Debosnys	0xE5F0AE9cc9aeF77ae3c2A64c9E69caa3F335dc1d-1773531520731	0x6982049c65e98606f65A0CE71fDb9b61296dA165-1777135114945
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? opposite sides · consensus No	—	No $27K	Yes $8.8K	—