PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x0f7ab62188e1fe1233d329ff4d75936811aa454b-1793036783897SchruteBucksChampions26darkumbreon88
Record (consensus markets)no settled market62% (1170–717, n=1887)64% (381–212, n=593)66% (1624–844, n=2468)
Consensus PnL—$56K$19K-$6.7K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #669PM monthly #557was PM monthly #597was PM monthly #833
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)75% (3 of 4 open)40% (2 of 5 open)67% (8 of 12 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • MLB +43 pts n=44, ROI +45%
  • NFL +36 pts n=79, ROI +28%
  • Tennis +33 pts n=199, ROI +31%
Weakest topic——Soccer −1 pts, n=372—
Settled positions, side won—99% of 712 at avg 72¢, ROI +8%62% of 378 at avg 63¢, ROI +3%100% of 1444 at avg 69¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢—4% (won 96% of 25)4% (won 35% of 17)1% (won 100% of 16)
Entries 30–50¢—12% (won 96% of 84)9% (won 34% of 35)9% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 50–70¢—24% (won 99% of 172)52% (won 59% of 196)38% (won 100% of 552)
Entries 70¢ and up—61% (won 100% of 431)34% (won 78% of 130)51% (won 100% of 743)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.