
Known as badatbettin since Nov 15 2026 · Previously known as: badatbettin (Nov 12 – Nov 15 2026)
Consensus PnL -$16K · win rate 25% (4–12, n=16) · was PM monthly #969 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-15.6K
Record
4W / 12L
Win Rate
25.0%
of 16 settled
Batting Avg
36.4%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#1311
Source
PM monthly #969
Record (90 d)
4/16 · 25%
Trades
216
Markets
21
Volume
$21.9K
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Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Axorfy Gaming - Map 2 WinnerGalorys $451 · now 100¢ · in at 67¢with the consensus (33% of 12)
Specialties
5 settled consensus markets · held side won 80% at an average entry of 52¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where badatbettin's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 20%(won 100% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 20%(won 100% of 1)
- 50–70¢: 60%(won 67% of 3)
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.