Consensus PnL -$26K · win rate 10% (2–19, n=21) · was PM monthly #963 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-26.5K
Record
2W / 19L
Win Rate
10.0%
of 21 settled
Batting Avg
66.7%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#2173
Source
PM monthly #963
Trades
61
Markets
28
Volume
$161.4K
Specialties
28 settled consensus markets · held side won 7% at an average entry of 26¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where 0xc8AD11A2C47477f80C1e079956470e030ec683dc-1774656466039's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Weakest: Tennis — held side won 9% of 22 at an average 27¢ entry (−18 pts against the price), ROI −6%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 57%(won 0% of 16)
- 30–50¢: 43%(won 17% of 12)
- 50–70¢: 0%
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.