
Known as HOG993 since Nov 12 2026 · Previously known as: HOG993 (Nov 9 – Nov 12 2026)
Consensus PnL -$5.1K · no settled consensus market yet · PM monthly #332 · holds 15 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$-5.1K
Record
0W / 0L
Win Rate
—
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#1117
Source
PM monthly #332
Record (90 d)
0/0
Trades
87
Markets
35
Volume
$41.8K
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Top consensus positions
15 in listed consensus markets · 6 of 15 on the consensus side (40%)- Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes $550 · now 11¢ · in at 3¢against the consensus (No)
- Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes $198 · now 4¢ · in at 3¢against the consensus (No)
- Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes $113 · now 2¢ · in at 3¢against the consensus (No)
- Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes $43 · now 1¢ · in at 3¢against the consensus (No)
- Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes $35 · now 1¢ · in at 3¢against the consensus (No)
- Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes $26 · now 1¢ · in at 3¢against the consensus (No)
- Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes $18 · now 0¢ · in at 3¢against the consensus (No)
- Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes $13 · now 0¢ · in at 3¢against the consensus (No)
Specialties
13 settled consensus markets · held side won 0% at an average entry of 2¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where HOG993's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 100%(won 0% of 13)
- 30–50¢: 0%
- 50–70¢: 0%
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.