ColdConviction

Consensus PnL $41K · win rate 88% (63–9, n=72) · PM monthly #32 · no open consensus position

0x70c14608...c2d41be2Polymarket

⚖️Arb🎯Sharp🎰Degen

Consensus PnL

$40.8K

Record

63W / 9L

Win Rate

88.0%

of 72 settled

Batting Avg

67.4%

Status

Profitable

Win-rate rank

#261

Source

PM monthly #32 + pinned

Trades

6,968

Markets

168

Volume

$1.4M

Specialties

118 settled consensus markets · held side won 82% at an average entry of 79¢

Politics
+11 pts
side won 100% of 10 · avg entry 89¢
ROI +2%

Entry prices (share of settled markets)

under 30¢: 10%(won 17% of 12)
30–50¢: 5%(won 50% of 6)
50–70¢: 12%(won 57% of 14)
70¢ and up: 73%(won 98% of 86)

Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.