Consensus PnL $60K · win rate 50% (1–1, n=2) · PM monthly #446 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$60.2K
Record
1W / 1L
Win Rate
50.0%
of 2 settled
Batting Avg
—
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1214
Source
PM monthly #446
Record (90 d)
1/1 · 100%
Trades
4
Markets
2
Volume
$149.5K
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Specialties
1 settled consensus market · held side won 100% at an average entry of 48¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where brrrrother444's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 100%(won 100% of 1)
- 50–70¢: 0%
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.