Consensus PnL $21K · win rate 13% (16–108, n=124) · was PM monthly #737 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$21.3K
Record
16W / 108L
Win Rate
13.0%
of 124 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#2651
Source
PM monthly #737
Record (90 d)
15/115 · 13%
Trades
7,156
Markets
307
Volume
$173.2K
Specialties
115 settled consensus markets · held side won 13% at an average entry of 19¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where 0x10e131b8c71888adb0f1480143143c0's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Weakest: Crypto — held side won 13% of 115 at an average 19¢ entry (−6 pts against the price), ROI −12%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 80%(won 3% of 92)
- 30–50¢: 9%(won 20% of 10)
- 50–70¢: 3%(won 50% of 4)
- 70¢ and up: 8%(won 89% of 9)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.