Consensus PnL $9.1K · win rate 100% (2–0, n=2) · PM monthly #972 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$9.1K
Record
2W / 0L
Win Rate
100.0%
of 2 settled
Batting Avg
—
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#40
Source
PM monthly #972
Record (90 d)
2/2 · 100%
Trades
10
Markets
4
Volume
$21.7K
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Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 2 on the consensus side (100%)- Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes $15K · now 89¢ · in at 84¢with the consensus (42% of 38)
- Will Nuevas Ideas (NI) win the most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?Yes $931 · now 96¢ · in at 94¢with the consensus (80% of 5)
Specialties
2 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 46¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where L.Acosta's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 100%(won 100% of 2)
- 50–70¢: 0%
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.