Consensus PnL $22K · win rate 67% (2–1, n=3) · PM monthly #632 · holds 10 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$21.8K
Record
2W / 1L
Win Rate
67.0%
of 3 settled
Batting Avg
—
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#589
Source
PM monthly #632
Record (90 d)
0/0
Trades
8,367
Markets
13
Volume
$32.4K
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Top consensus positions
10 in listed consensus markets · 9 of 10 on the consensus side (90%)- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes $21K · now 14¢ · in at 2¢with the consensus (73% of 41)
- Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes $9.0K · now 3¢ · in at 2¢with the consensus (90% of 21)
- Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes $6.8K · now 3¢ · in at 2¢with the consensus (92% of 25)
- Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes $6.7K · now 4¢ · in at 2¢with the consensus (90% of 21)
- Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes $5.1K · now 2¢ · in at 1¢with the consensus (92% of 24)
- Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes $3.1K · now 1¢ · in at 1¢with the consensus (100% of 18)
- Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes $1.6K · now 1¢ · in at 1¢with the consensus (100% of 22)
- Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes $1.6K · now 1¢ · in at 1¢with the consensus (95% of 22)
Specialties
1 settled consensus market · held side won 100% at an average entry of 10¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where laganza's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 100%(won 100% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 0%
- 50–70¢: 0%
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.