Consensus PnL $138K · win rate 99% (2634–38, n=2672) · was PM monthly #656 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$137.8K
Record
2634W / 38L
Win Rate
99.0%
of 2672 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#84
Source
PM monthly #656
Record (90 d)
711/721 · 99%
Trades
586
Markets
2,711
Volume
$57.4M
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Specialties
2,542 settled consensus markets · held side won 99% at an average entry of 98¢- Politics
+7 pts
side won 100% of 38 · avg entry 93¢
ROI +2%
- Geopolitics
+7 pts
side won 100% of 13 · avg entry 93¢
ROI +1%
- Crypto
+5 pts
side won 91% of 11 · avg entry 86¢
ROI +2%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%(won 80% of 5)
- 30–50¢: 0%(won 33% of 6)
- 50–70¢: 2%(won 56% of 39)
- 70¢ and up: 98%(won 100% of 2492)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.