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BF
No settled consensus market yet · hand-picked wallet · no open consensus position
0xbf4d2023...163733edPolymarket
Consensus PnL
$0
Source
Hand-picked
Trades
0
Markets
0
Volume
$0
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Specialties
311 settled consensus markets · held side won 78% at an average entry of 75¢- Politics
+18 pts
side won 100% of 14 · avg entry 82¢
ROI +11%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 10%(won 10% of 31)
- 30–50¢: 5%(won 29% of 17)
- 50–70¢: 11%(won 60% of 35)
- 70¢ and up: 73%(won 93% of 228)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.