Consensus PnL $163K · win rate 92% (12–1, n=13) · PM monthly #150 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$162.7K
Record
12W / 1L
Win Rate
92.0%
of 13 settled
Batting Avg
71.9%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#236
Source
PM monthly #150
Record (90 d)
12/13 · 92%
Trades
2,782
Markets
14
Volume
$630.0K
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Specialties
13 settled consensus markets · held side won 92% at an average entry of 76¢- Crypto
+16 pts
side won 92% of 13 · avg entry 76¢
ROI +21%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 8%(won 0% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 0%
- 50–70¢: 8%(won 100% of 1)
- 70¢ and up: 85%(won 100% of 11)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.