Consensus PnL $46K · win rate 63% (12–7, n=19) · PM monthly #554 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$46.5K
Record
12W / 7L
Win Rate
63.0%
of 19 settled
Batting Avg
—
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#689
Source
PM monthly #554
Record (90 d)
11/20 · 55%
Trades
2
Markets
19
Volume
$42.2K
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Specialties
18 settled consensus markets · held side won 61% at an average entry of 49¢- Tennis
+10 pts
side won 56% of 16 · avg entry 46¢
ROI +40%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 22%(won 25% of 4)
- 30–50¢: 22%(won 50% of 4)
- 50–70¢: 33%(won 67% of 6)
- 70¢ and up: 22%(won 100% of 4)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.