Consensus PnL $85K · win rate 61% (73–47, n=120) · was PM monthly #618 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$85.1K
Record
73W / 47L
Win Rate
61.0%
of 120 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1157
Source
PM monthly #618
Record (90 d)
72/72 · 100%
Trades
4,123
Markets
163
Volume
$350.7K
Specialties
72 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 64¢- Crypto
+36 pts
side won 100% of 72 · avg entry 64¢
ROI +44%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 6%(won 100% of 4)
- 30–50¢: 17%(won 100% of 12)
- 50–70¢: 47%(won 100% of 34)
- 70¢ and up: 31%(won 100% of 22)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.