Consensus PnL $16K · win rate 37% (18–31, n=49) · was PM monthly #999 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$15.5K
Record
18W / 31L
Win Rate
37.0%
of 49 settled
Batting Avg
—
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1544
Source
PM monthly #999
Record (90 d)
23/51 · 45%
Trades
949
Markets
53
Volume
$453.5K
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Specialties
31 settled consensus markets · held side won 61% at an average entry of 61¢- Tennis
+5 pts
side won 70% of 23 · avg entry 65¢
ROI +3%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 13%(won 25% of 4)
- 30–50¢: 13%(won 25% of 4)
- 50–70¢: 32%(won 70% of 10)
- 70¢ and up: 42%(won 77% of 13)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.