No settled consensus market yet · PM monthly #959 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$0
Source
PM monthly #959
Record (90 d)
1/1 · 100%
Trades
0
Markets
0
Volume
$0
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Specialties
11 settled consensus markets · held side won 27% at an average entry of 21¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where 0x856311Dc0A68bc1204dBb35930E4884245C11eEA-1770360074726's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 73%(won 13% of 8)
- 30–50¢: 18%(won 50% of 2)
- 50–70¢: 9%(won 100% of 1)
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.