Consensus PnL $91K · win rate 71% (419–174, n=593) · PM monthly #734 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$90.8K
Record
419W / 174L
Win Rate
71.0%
of 593 settled
Batting Avg
48.6%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#478
Source
PM monthly #734
Record (90 d)
300/390 · 77%
Trades
951
Markets
595
Volume
$2.5M
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Specialties
527 settled consensus markets · held side won 76% at an average entry of 74¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where 0x5016c48436AB3eFA2Ab54b117d0C08fa1a4a1eEB-1778328420816's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 4%(won 0% of 19)
- 30–50¢: 6%(won 45% of 33)
- 50–70¢: 24%(won 67% of 125)
- 70¢ and up: 66%(won 86% of 350)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.