Consensus PnL $102K · win rate 56% (5–4, n=9) · PM monthly #261 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$102.1K
Record
5W / 4L
Win Rate
56.0%
of 9 settled
Batting Avg
—
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#901
Source
PM monthly #261
Record (90 d)
5/6 · 83%
Trades
354
Markets
9
Volume
$487.5K
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Specialties
6 settled consensus markets · held side won 83% at an average entry of 50¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where 0x48b238...b3e84f's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 50%(won 100% of 3)
- 50–70¢: 50%(won 67% of 3)
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.