Consensus PnL $14K · win rate 83% (5–1, n=6) · PM monthly #826 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$14.0K
Record
5W / 1L
Win Rate
83.0%
of 6 settled
Batting Avg
90.9%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#279
Source
PM monthly #826
Record (90 d)
5/6 · 83%
Trades
0
Markets
10
Volume
$29.0K
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Specialties
7 settled consensus markets · held side won 86% at an average entry of 60¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where 0x420c24...84114d's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 14%(won 0% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 29%(won 100% of 2)
- 50–70¢: 14%(won 100% of 1)
- 70¢ and up: 43%(won 100% of 3)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.