Consensus PnL -$5.6K · win rate 69% (20–9, n=29) · was PM monthly #997 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-5.6K
Record
20W / 9L
Win Rate
69.0%
of 29 settled
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#559
Source
PM monthly #997
Record (90 d)
14/14 · 100%
Trades
0
Markets
29
Volume
$70.4K
Loading this trader’s full history
Large accounts take up to ~20 s
Loading positions and trades…
Specialties
19 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 74¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where JonasTheWolf's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 11%(won 100% of 2)
- 50–70¢: 32%(won 100% of 6)
- 70¢ and up: 58%(won 100% of 11)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.