Consensus PnL -$1.1K · win rate 30% (8–19, n=27) · PM monthly #802 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-1.1K
Record
8W / 19L
Win Rate
30.0%
of 27 settled
Batting Avg
13.3%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#955
Source
PM monthly #802
Record (90 d)
8/27 · 30%
Trades
488
Markets
39
Volume
$14.1K
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Specialties
6 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 40¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where adururu's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 33%(won 100% of 2)
- 30–50¢: 33%(won 100% of 2)
- 50–70¢: 33%(won 100% of 2)
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.