Consensus PnL -$1.2K · win rate 33% (1–2, n=3) · was PM monthly #794 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-1.2K
Record
1W / 2L
Win Rate
33.0%
of 3 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#2534
Source
PM monthly #794
Record (90 d)
2/5 · 40%
Trades
19
Markets
3
Volume
$2.2K
Specialties
2 settled consensus markets · held side won 50% at an average entry of 20¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where puggius-maximus-ii's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 100%(won 50% of 2)
- 30–50¢: 0%
- 50–70¢: 0%
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.