Consensus PnL $28K · win rate 75% (12–4, n=16) · was PM monthly #752 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$27.8K
Record
12W / 4L
Win Rate
75.0%
of 16 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#595
Source
PM monthly #752
Record (90 d)
13/13 · 100%
Trades
247
Markets
23
Volume
$38.8K
Specialties
13 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 46¢- Crypto
+54 pts
side won 100% of 13 · avg entry 46¢
ROI +61%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 23%(won 100% of 3)
- 30–50¢: 31%(won 100% of 4)
- 50–70¢: 31%(won 100% of 4)
- 70¢ and up: 15%(won 100% of 2)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.